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By Ruy Teixeira

The Mountain West —Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah —has develop into the hot swing zone in American politics. All symptoms aspect to those states, specially Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, being the most important within the 2012 election. regrettably, the increase of this sector has been underreported within the media, and lots of political observers have purely the main superficial knowing of the profound monetary, political, and social adjustments that proceed to reshape the Mountain West. America's New Swing area is the remedy.Led through bestselling writer and political analyst Ruy Teixeira, a skilled crew of students assembled by way of the Brookings Mountain West software (housed on the college of Nevada–Las Vegas) offers the proof and the narrative worthwhile for figuring out what's taking place during this sector and why it's so important.Contents 1. creation and Overview2. America's New Swing zone: The Political Demography and Geography of the Mountain West3. Metropolitan balloting styles within the Mountain West: the hot and previous Political Heartlands4. Hispanics, Race, and the altering Political panorama of the U.S. Mountain West5. The Political Attitudes of the Millennial iteration within the Mountain West6. The Mountain West at the present time: A nearby Survey7. Reapportionment and Redistricting within the Mountain WestContributors comprise Karlyn Bowman (American firm Institute), David Damore(University of Nevada–Las Vegas (UNLV), William Frey (Brookings Institution), Scott Keeter (Pew examine Center), Robert E. Lang (Brookings, UNLV, and the Lincy Institute), Tom Sanchez (Virginia Tech University), and Ruy Teixeira (Century beginning and the guts for American Progress).

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One clear pattern is that a good chunk of the counties that gave the GOP margin gains between 1988 and 2008 are also counties that are losing population (colored red in map C-2). indd 34 1/24/12 5:38 PM America’s New Swing Region 35 growing county. That would appear to be very good news for the Democrats. But there are mitigating factors that support continued GOP strength in the state and could provide the basis for a GOP comeback. To begin, other counties that gave the Republicans margin gains—and there are a fair number—are growing, some quite sharply.

S. decennial census. indd 29 1/24/12 5:38 PM 30 W illiam H. F rey and R uy T eixeira growth in key demographic segments, both across the state and in these regions, is seen among white college graduates and minorities while the shares of the white working class are declining. That means that the “outer” regions, while far more Republican than the city of Denver or its inner suburbs, are now gaining segments that are less predictably oriented toward the GOP. That is a change with potentially large implications.

Idaho Idaho continues to be one of the rapidly growing Western states that attract spillover migration from California, the rest of the West, and other parts of the United States. Spurred by its booming high-tech industry of recent decades, Idaho increased its population by more than one-fifth between 2000 and 2010 and was the fourth-fastest-growing state in the country. Yet the 2010 census did not provide for an additional congressional seat, so it continues with 4 electoral college votes in the 2012 election.

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